@Fensi88 : To be honest , I did't examine Moon and Saturn placement before. SO , My suggestion will be as following :
Portugal => Teal/Green => Moon
Wales => Black => Saturn
During 1st half and under ASC=> Cap , Moon (1st House) and Saturn (11th house) are in good positions.
During 2nd half , Moon will remain in 7th house while Saturn ingress 10th house (natural house ruler). Now , the change that I am expecting when ASC change to AQU. Although Saturn is protected due to placement but it will start losing this protection by this change but this placement will be much better than Moon in 7th house during ASC changes. This is confusing a little bit.
Therefore ,
I would say that I am not expecting
Wales to loose during original time.
One more thing :
Rulers of 10th house is retro. That's means something from the past is repeating, either in connection with teams, players or competition they are playing. I didn't find anything formal matches between them.
The possibility would be draw in original time or Wales to win in 2nd half.