Hi Chris. Of course Turkey is not (yet) a member of EU, however it doesn´t mean they can´t open their borders widely open and let everybody pass through Greece (and spread from there to other countries). It doesn´t mean, also, that the Turks can´t easily go to EU members. See the Turk communities in Germany, France and South of Spain, for instance. Another crucial fact: I told before that Turkish government has just received a bunch of euros. What was that for? Two motives: help to contain refugees before they go into Greece and, as a proof of good-faith, a sort of a promess of flexibilization of Turkey´s admission. That was decided in Brussels around 6 months ago. So, why do they (Turks) want to join EU? Isn´t so much for the Military support neither due to ideological similarities but because of the free-circulation privileges. Of goods and people. People. Their economical system, in contrast with the religious conflicts are a clock-bomb. Do you know how fragile is the Greek border patrol? And the Italian? They have no means for the people they receive. So, if we put all of this together, a Turkish exodus is very plausible. At least for me. The pression and tension are huge. They kill themselves with the minority persecutions; they are being pushed against the wall by the wave of refugees; they always wanted (at least the generations without power) to leave their land (again, look at those communities I referred above); military interventions usually cause more fear and despair...and Greece is just right there. If things get a little bit more tight, I have no doubts: they will come. They´ll have nothing to loosr...and ISIS is also there. And the mafias. Those Mediterranean travessies are not organized by shi##y criminals. There is a huge web working.
And Cyprus, well they´re just a pawn ready to be forgotten when a major play appears. If we were 10 years ago or such, this would be just another routine issue for EU leaders; but now, we´re fragile; France is blowing up everywhere, so, yes, there is no time to deal with Turkey in other proper ways. Let just a couple of ISIS´ warriors do their bombing and you´ll see the mess in EU. Membership is just a mere formality that doesn´t stop or help things like this to happen. History is full of exodus´ periods. How many of them were bureaucratical?
Last edited:
Sorry for misinterpreting. 
