View Single Post
Unread 05-31-2017, 04:33 PM
unique_astrology's Avatar
unique_astrology unique_astrology is offline
Senior Member
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Illinois
Posts: 1,021
Will midterms usher in new control in U.S. House?

If a party is lucky they get about 18 months to build a record to campaign on for the midterm elections. After that Senators running for election and all members of the House of Representatives doing the same, focus on their campaigns. With the record they seem to be building members of this congress may shift to campaign mode before 6 months prior to the midterm election.

A party in power usually make their greatest achievements in their first year. This bunch has already squandered more than one third of that year without any notable achievements to promote the general welfare of the country's voters and suffered a major setback in regards to passing their own health care package - a major concern to voters - and a point likely to be used against them in the campaign.

"Is there a Democratic wave building for 2018?"
Updated 5:07 PM ET, Tue May 9, 2017

"With the notable exception of 2002, the first midterm election of a president's term is very bad news for his party. Democrats lost 63 seats in the 2010 election. They lost 54 House seats in Bill Clinton's first midterm in 1994. Republicans lost 26 House seats in the first midterm election of Ronald Reagan's presidency in 1982. (In 2002, Republicans actually gained 8 House seats as President George W. Bush's approval rating soared in the wake of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks and as the country looked toward war in Iraq.) The average loss for a president's party in midterm elections since 1862 is more than 30 seats, according to PolitFact. Democrats need only 24 House seats to retake the majority."

"As Gallup's Jeffrey Jones concludes:

"Since 1946, when presidents are above 50% approval, their party loses an average of 14 seats in the US House in the midterm elections, compared with an average loss of 36 seats when presidents are below that mark."

Last edited by unique_astrology; 05-31-2017 at 04:39 PM.
Reply With Quote