Right now: Moon at 6°42' Gemini, Sun at 27°06' Capricorn
A note on predictions
Astrological Words of Wisdom
Why did the astrological predictions concerning the 2004 presidential election fail?
by John Frawley
There are various reasons for the failure of predictions from the natal chart. One, of course, is the use of bizarre techniques (no, the US election did not hinge on the movements of Sedna, as I have seen claimed!) or errors in the use of sound techniques. One is the inability to see beyond the astrologer's wishful thinking. Another is the failure to think clearly about what the charts need to show in order for a prediction to be made. That is my point here.
I am referring here to predictions from the natal charts; I am not referring to predictions made by anyone in particular; I have not looked at the nativities of Bush & Kerry myself, and so do not know what is or isn't there.
Although the election was a race between B & K, which Bush won and Kerry lost, so far as the unfolding of their lives is concerned, and hence so far as what their birthcharts will show,
Kerry did not lose; he failed to win
Bush did not win; he avoided losing.
Unless Kerry runs again and wins, this will be the most successful day of his life. Coming within one state of being US president is some achievement. A few months ago hardly anyone had heard of him; now he was on every TV in the world. We should expect to see some powerful positive testimonies in his chart.
For Bush, the situation has remained as it was. He was president already: we should not expect to find testimonies of triumph in his chart. As long as there are no powerful testimonies of defeat (or of him moving house), he will stay in office.
It is not necessary even to look at Kerry's chart if Bush's does not show defeat. No matter how glorious might be the testimonies in Kerry's, if Bush is still in office Kerry will not become president - any more than glorious testimonies in six months' time will make him president.
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