A question that arises with any conflict is the Cassus Belli
(the Cause of the War), is it Just or Unjust?
To determine that, we look at Mars which is the universal significator of conflicts of all types (between spouses, friends co-workers, legal actions, trade disputes and wars).
The Planet Mars has separated from is the one who starts the conflict. The Planet Mars is applying to, or the Planet that is applying to Mars is the enemy.
Mars at 16° Capricorn has separated from an opposition with Jupiter at 14° Cancer.
That’s very interesting, because we see that Jupiter rules Pisces intercepted in the 12th House of Secret Plans and Schemes and Jupiter rules the Sagittarius 9th House.
From our Order of Planets the only two Planets Mars can make aspects with is Jupiter and Saturn. Mars has already separated from Jupiter and prior to that he separated from an opposition with Saturn which rules the 12th House holding Pisces Intercepted.
Only the Sun and Inferior Planets can apply to Mars and the Sun at 14° Libra is in an applying square and represents the Enemy and also the Sun rules the Chart’s 6th House which is the 12th House of Afghanistan.
At first glance the Chart appears descriptive because Jupiter, the one who started the conflict rules Pisces Intercepted in the 12th House, and also the 9th House of Religion. That would certainly fit the apparent cause of the war based on a terrorist attack (Pisces Intercepted in the 12th House) by religious fanatics (9th House).
But is that the case? Can we differentiate between religion and religious extremism? Ruler Jupiter is Angular in the 4th House, Exalted in Cancer and Direct, but Jupiter is also Slow and damaged by a Partile square with an Angular Peregrine Sun in Fall in Libra.
Would that make the difference between religion and religious extremism? I don’t know as I don’t have enough experience.
One thing that has to be taken into consideration is that the 12th House belongs to the US, not Afghanistan, so those are the Secret Plans and Schemes of the US, not Afghanistan and that the 9th House also represents the international trade, commerce and shipping of the US as well as the affairs of US colonies, possessions and territories.
I believe Bonatti is quoting Zael here, but he says:
1) if Mars separates from a Benefic and applies to a Malefic, the cause is Just.
2) if Mars separates from a Malefic and applies to a Benefic, the cause is Unjust
3) if Mars separates from a Benefic and applies to a Benefic, each side “cherishes its just cause.”
4) if Mars separates from a Malefic and applies to a Malefic, each side lies about the cause.
Zael had no problem going into other Signs to look at aspects for Planets applying or separating. In fact in 1st/7th House issues for [love] relationships, lawsuits or conflicts the Planet from which the Moon last separated is given to the Querent/1st House as a co-significator, and if the Moon made no separating aspects in its current Sign, then you look at previous Signs.
Zael would consider Mars to have separated from a Benefic (Venus by trine) and two Malefics Jupiter by opposition (Jupiter is unfortunated by the square aspect from an Angular Peregrine Sun) and from a Malefic (Saturn by opposition) and two Malefics applying to Mars (Peregrine Sun by square and Peregrine Moon by opposition).
The position of the US would appear to be partially justified, but also based on lies.
The position of Mars in the Chart also indicates the reasons for the war and I’m going to quote Bonatti directly because Mars is in the 10th House:
“And if he [Mars] were in the 10th, it will be because of the king and his honor, and to increase his rulership.”
If I’m not mistaken, I believe a lot of people were of that opinion and Mars Exalted in the 10th would certainly support their opinion.
It’s also noteworthy that Mars is Out-of-Bounds South having a declination of -25°06’ and a Planet Out-of-Bounds is somewhat malicious and doesn’t “play by the rules.”
If the US isn’t being completely open about its motivations for the conflict, can we determine what its real motivations are? I’ll connect the dots.
The Part of Fortune is in the US 8th House which represents multi-national corporations and international banking and the resources of others, in this case Afghanistan, since the Chart’s 8th House is Afghanistan’s 2nd House of finances, possession, wealth and resources.
The Part of Fortune is in Sagittarius.
The Ruler of Sagittarius is Jupiter Exalted in Cancer in the 4th House. The 4th House represents anything that comes out of the ground, like coal, oil, natural gas, metal ores and minerals.
Jupiter rules Pisces Intercepted in the US 12th House of Secret Plans and Schemes.
I’ll continue to post things about this conflict as it continues to unfold, and I’ll also post charts on other conflict that we can look at:
Cuban Missile Crisis
We’ll look at those to see if we can determine who started the conflict, if the conflict was just or unjust, what the real motives might have been and who won the conflict.
If anyone wants to do a chart for those (or any other conflict) and make an interpretation that’s good. The more charts you look at the easier it will be to judge future conflicts.