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aquirata
05-12-2006, 01:00 PM
Today's race is the 4:00 at Chester, a stakes over 7f. The racecard can be viewed at http://www.racingpost.co.uk/horses/card.sd?race_id=406824&r_date=2006-5-12&flag=1&cards=1

Date: May 12, 2006
Time: 4:00 pm
Place: Chester, UK

RACE ANGLES
Asc: 2º Lib, ruled by the Ven
MC: 2º Can, ruled by Mon
Des: 2º Ari, ruled by Mar
IC: 2º Cap, ruled by Sat

RUNNERS' BIRTHDATES
Cordelia 26Jan'03
Dallma 25Mar'03
Felicitous 1Apr'03
Las Beatas 26Apr'03
Princess Lavinia 25May'03
Tawaajud 21Mar'03

POINT VALUES
Conjunction: 12 points
Opposition: 6 points
Trine: 4 points
Square: 3 points
Sextile: 2 points

NATAL MOON CONTACTING RULERS OF RACE ANGLES (8º ORB) OR RACE ANGLES (8º ORB)
Cordelia: con Mon, tri Mar = 12+4 = 16 points
Dallma: sex Mon, squ Ven, opp Mar, opp MC = 2+3+6+6 = 17 points
Felicitous: con Ven, tri Sat, opp Asc, squ MC = 12+4+6+3 = 25 points
Las Beatas: tri Mon, tri Mar = 4+4 = 8 points
Princess Lavinia: tri Sat, opp Asc, squ MC = 4+6+3 = 13 points
Tawaajud: con Mon, tri Mar, squ Sat = 12+4+3 = 19 points

NATAL MOON (RACE MC RULER) CONTACTING RULERS OF RACE ANGLES (8º ORB) OR RACE ANGLES (8º ORB)
This has already been considered above

NATAL MARS CONTACTING RULERS OF RACE ANGLES (1.5º ORB) OR RACE ANGLES (1.5º ORB)
Cordelia: tri Sat = 4 points
Dallma: sex Mon = 3 points
Felicitous: opp Mar = 6 points
Las Beatas: tri Asc = 4 points
Princess Lavinia: -
Tawaajud: squ Ven = 3 points

RACE FORTUNA'S ASPECTS (1.5º ORB, EXCEPT 8º ORB TO NATAL MOON)
Cordelia: tri Mon, squ Sat = 4+3 = 7 points
Dallma: squ Sat = 3 points
Felicitous: squ Sat = 3 points
Las Beatas: -
Princess Lavinia: con Mon = 12 points
Tawaajud: squ Sat = 3 points

ANGULARITY OF PLANETS NOT ALREADY CONSIDERED (1.5º ORB)
Cordelia: -
Dallma: tri Ura, tri Nod = 4+4 = 8 points
Felicitous: tri Ura, tri Nod = 4+4 = 8 points
Las Beatas: tri Ura = 4 points
Princess Lavinia: tri Ura = 4 points
Tawaajud: opp Sun, tri Nod = 6+4 = 10 points

TOTALS
Felicitous: 25+6+3+8 = 42 points
Tawaajud: 19+3+3+10 = 35 points
Dallma: 17+3+3+8 = 31 points
Princess Lavinia: 13+0+12+4 = 29 points
Cordelia: 16+4+7+0 = 27 points
Las Beatas: 8+4+0+4 = 16 points

BETTING FORECAST
9/4 Felicitous, 5/2 Tawaajud, 4/1 Dallma, 9/2 Princess Lavinia, 12/1 Las Beatas, 14/1 Cordelia

FINAL ASSESSMENT
1. Felicitous: 42*0.31 = 12.92
2. Tawaajud: 35*0.29 = 10.00
3. Dallma: 31*0.20 = 6.20
Princess Lavinia: 29*0.18 = 5.27
Cordelia: 27*0.07 = 1.80
Las Beatas: 16*0.08 = 1.23

Astrological factors confirm the betting forecast, and therefore the favourite is expected to win. Current prices are even more in favour of Felicitous (6/5), so the final assessment is not likely to change.

aquirata
05-12-2006, 03:13 PM
RESULT
1st (6) Tawaajud 5-4 Fav
2nd (4) Las Beatas 10-1
3rd (5) Princess Lavinia 4-1
5 ran
Also: 11-4 Dallma 4th
NR: Felicitous

With Felicitous out of running, the new favourite Tawaajud wins the race, fully in accordance with our assessment. Apart from Las Beatas, the order of finish also closely resembles the list.

fensi88
05-13-2006, 04:20 PM
I did not know that some of proclaimed runners may be off. This is not fair.

aquirata
05-14-2006, 02:33 AM
All non-runners are declared before the off. Any bets on them (made prior to the declaration) are refunded, and the prices on the rest of the runners are adjusted accordingly. What doesn't seem fair to you in this?

fensi88
05-14-2006, 05:48 AM
Any bets on them (made prior to the declaration) are refunded, and the prices on the rest of the runners are adjusted accordingly. What doesn't seem fair to you in this?

In that case it is OK. I never bet, so I did not know.